MAKHACHKALA, August 21 – RIA Dagestan. Dagestan has topped the ranking of Russian regions with the highest normative housing demand by 2036. To achieve the target housing provision rate of 38 square meters per resident, the republic needs to build 58 million square meters of residential real estate.
This was announced by Yulia Tokareva, Partner and Head of Strategic Consulting at CMWP, during a roundtable titled "Integrated Territorial Development: Improving Implementation Mechanisms for ITD Projects". The company's analysts calculated the demand for each region based on population size and the gap between current and normative housing provision (38 square meters per person by 2036). The calculations used Rosstat data, with Moscow and St. Petersburg excluded from the sample.
Dagestan's high demand for new housing is driven by the currently low provision of living space per resident. According to Tokareva, about 83% of developers are interested in Integrated Territorial Development (ITD) projects, with housing remaining the primary driver of such initiatives. The 58 million square meters required for Dagestan also represents significant potential for the ITD market.
Tyumen Oblast and Krasnodar Krai rounded out the top three regions in terms of required housing volume. Tyumen Oblast will need to build an additional 50 million square meters of residential real estate by 2036, while Krasnodar Krai will need 33 million square meters. The Chechen Republic and Moscow Oblast also made the top five for housing demand, each requiring 29 million square meters.
Under current plans, 663 million square meters of housing will be commissioned across Russia by 2030 as part of the "Infrastructure for Life" national project. This will update the country's housing stock by 23% compared to 2019 levels and increase average housing provision to 33 square meters per person. By 2036, the target is set to reach 38 square meters per resident. Currently, the national average in Russia is about 30 square meters of housing per person.